I forgot to mention. One of my best friends is a bit of a conspiracy theorist, and last time we hung out his brother and I pointed out how obvious It is that Trump lost and how the voter fraud BS are just death flails of a man that hates to lose... he is a smart guy and I was curious what he thought and he too showed me some link to a guy claiming that “based on stats and odds, Trump couldn’t have lost”. He bought into the idea purely based on math amd probability. Similar to the first link you shared.
I’m just baffled at how many intelligent people are so blinded by the bullshit that they allow themselves to be a bit dumber because: Trump.