Author: Mikey <dkd@dkd.com>     Reply to Message
Date: 4/23/2020 12:46:54 PM
Subject: NYC covid prevalance

so studies all across the world are being released showing that prevalance is way higher, probably at least 10% higher but maybe much higher than that, than confirmed cases. i.e. IFR is 10% of the CFR.
I.e. probably kills one in about 350~ people or so, and that person is typically 80 years old.

thanks for the great depression everyone! Sorry about everyones livelihoods. Oops.

NYC study just came in - 20% have already been infected - and thats probably a snapshot from 3 weeks or so ago because it takes a while for the antibodies to form + be detectable.

So NYC might be half way to herd immunity already.
_